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BNP Paribas looks forward to 2025: The Federal Reserve is expected to stay put for the whole year, and the US yield will rise. The 2025 outlook report released by BNP Paribas on Thursday shows that the yield of US Treasury bonds is expected to rise, and under the strong dollar, it will reach parity against the euro. The bank predicts that with the entry into force of the tariff measures proposed by the incoming Trump administration, the US inflation rate will start to pick up from the middle of next year, prompting the Fed to remain inactive throughout 2025. Calvin Tse, the bank's head of macro strategy for the Americas, said that customers are advised to continue to allocate low US Treasury bonds next year, because they expect that inflation will accelerate from mid-2025 after the soft landing of the economy, and the yield of 10-year Treasury bonds will be 4.65% at the end of the year. Tse also said that inflation is expected to be higher and the Fed is more hawkish next year.The exchange rate of the Canadian dollar against the US dollar fell to the lowest level since April 2020. As the US dollar strengthened for the fifth consecutive day, the Canadian dollar fell below 1.42 Canadian dollars against the US dollar for the first time since April 2020. According to informed officials, Canada is studying that if US President-elect Donald Trump fulfills his threat to impose extensive tariffs, Canada will impose export taxes on its main exports to the United States.Guangzhou Institute: Make solid preparations for the listing of polysilicon futures and options to ensure the smooth launch and steady operation of polysilicon futures and options. With the rapid development of polysilicon industry, the relationship between supply and demand changes rapidly and the price fluctuates greatly due to various factors such as industrial policy, production cycle and technological progress. Due to the lack of objective and continuous price signals, the polysilicon industry has concentrated capacity investment and construction, which is prone to problems such as staged supply and demand mismatch, which is not conducive to the healthy and stable development of the industry. In this context, photovoltaic industry chain enterprises have increasingly strong demands for listed polysilicon futures, pricing with futures tools and managing risks. At the same time, the listed polysilicon futures will help to export the international pricing benchmark, form the "China" price of polysilicon international trade reflecting China's industrial volume, and gradually enhance China's influence in polysilicon international trade pricing. The insiders believe that at present, the industrial silicon varieties in Guangzhou have been running smoothly for nearly two years, and the listing of polysilicon varieties will further improve the variety layout of the crystalline silicon industrial chain for futures services, and provide more accurate futures tools for polysilicon and its downstream photovoltaic industrial chain, which is conducive to further consolidating the global competitive advantage of China's photovoltaic and other industries. The relevant person in charge of the Guangzhou Stock Exchange said that in the next step, under the guidance of the China Securities Regulatory Commission, the Guangzhou Stock Exchange will make solid preparations for the listing of polysilicon futures and options to ensure the smooth launch and steady operation of polysilicon futures and options. (Guangzhou Institute)

Bitcoin fell below $100,000/piece, down 1.15% in the day.Venezuelan authorities said that 103 people arrested after the July elections were released this week.Ukrainian energy facilities were attacked by large-scale air strikes. Ukrainian President Zelensky said on the 13th that Ukrainian energy facilities were attacked by Russian missiles and drones again that morning. The Russian Defense Ministry announced on the 13th that the Russian army launched a large-scale attack on the energy infrastructure to ensure the operation of the Ukrainian military-industrial complex by using long-range space-based and sea-based high-precision weapons and attack drones, which was a response to Ukraine's attack on the Russian Taganrog military airport on the 11th using the US Army tactical missile system. Zelensky said on social media that 93 missiles were fired by Russian troops and 81 were intercepted by Ukrainian air defense fire. In addition, the Russian army also launched nearly 200 attack drones into Uzbekistan. DTEK, Ukraine's largest private power company, issued a statement on the morning of the 13th, saying that many thermal power plants under the company were seriously damaged by large-scale air strikes, and no casualties have been found. It is reported that this is the 12th round of large-scale air strikes launched by the Russian army against Ukrainian energy facilities this year. (Xinhua News Agency)

Canada is considering imposing tariffs on key resources exported by the United States, calling this a "last resort". It is reported that Canada is currently studying the imposition of export taxes on its main commodities exported to the United States, including uranium, oil and potash fertilizer. According to officials familiar with the internal discussions in the Canadian government, export tariffs will be Canada's last resort (if US President-elect Trump fulfills his promise to impose extensive tariffs). Retaliatory tariffs on American-made goods and export controls on some Canadian products will be more likely to be introduced first. But these officials said that if Trump decides to launch a full-scale trade war, Canada's export tax on goods is a practical choice. The Trudeau government may also propose to expand the power of export control.Minister of Transport of the Syrian Transitional Government: Aleppo Airport is ready, and the civil airport is trying to recover. On the evening of the 12th local time, the Minister of Transport of the Syrian Transitional Government said that he was working hard to prepare for the recovery of the Syrian civil airport for planes to take off and land. At the same time, the department is also coordinating the operational procedures for transit with neighboring countries. The minister said that in the next few hours, Syrian airspace will be opened to air traffic. At present, Aleppo International Airport in Syria is ready, and Syria will announce the operation dates of Damascus International Airport and Aleppo International Airport in the next few days.Governor of Poland's central bank: Poland will continue to achieve the CPI target.